Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Briar Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Avon
Tract 39093013202 · Lorain County, OH · pop 5,996 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
39093013202 is a census tract in the Briar Lakes area of Avon, OH. It scores 3.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,996. 17% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Lorain County average of 40.1%.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,502
Renter share28.5%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$74,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Avon and the region
Centroid at 41.4659, -82.0407 · click any tract to drill in
Why Briar Lakes scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Avon
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,374 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avon
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avon
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avon
3.6
How Briar Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 30%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Briar Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.6%Food insecurity
- 8.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 25.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Briar Lakes
The clearest offset is state political climate at 2.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,374, 23% below the Avon average. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10.
The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10.
Against the Lorain County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. The voucher gap is 13.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally. Nationally it ranks #61,558 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 3.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093013202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093013202?
Census tract 39093013202 in the Briar Lakes neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093013202?
Median gross rent is $1,374/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093013202?
11.2% of residents in tract 39093013202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,996.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093013202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 37th, minority 30th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 39093013202 considered part of Briar Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093013202 fall within Briar Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 39093013202 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39093013202 compare to Avon overall?
Tract 39093013202 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Avon at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Avon
Top eight tracts in Avon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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