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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Briar Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Avon

Tract 39093013201 · Lorain County, OH · pop 8,747 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 39093013201 sits in the Briar Lakes area of Avon, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 8,747 residents. Cost burden runs 100% here against 40.1% across Lorain County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 0% Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units3,081
Renter share1.0%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate0.3%
Median income$136,339

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Briar Lakes
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Avon
Very Low
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#63 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#2,197 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avon and the region

Centroid at 41.4404, -82.0395 · click any tract to drill in

Why Briar Lakes scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avon
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
0.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avon
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avon
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avon
3.6

How Briar Lakes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Briar Lakes risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0132013.3Avonparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Briar Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Briar Lakes

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

Food insecurity runs 5.8% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Against the Lorain County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.

Adults with no health insurance runs 4.1% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 1% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 1.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093013201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093013201?

Census tract 39093013201 in the Briar Lakes neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093013201?

0.3% of residents in tract 39093013201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,747.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093013201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 13th, minority 29th, housing 3th.
Q4

Is tract 39093013201 considered part of Briar Lakes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093013201 fall within Briar Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 39093013201 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 39093013201 compare to Avon overall?

Tract 39093013201 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Avon at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avon

Top eight tracts in Avon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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