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Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Briar Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Avon

Tract 39093013201 · Lorain County, OH · pop 8,747 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.2/10 for census tract 39093013201 reflects conditions in the Briar Lakes neighborhood of Avon, Ohio. On the national scale it ranks #46,242 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

100% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $136,339 a year. About 1% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 0% Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units3,081
Renter share1.0%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate0.3%
Median income$136,339

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Briar Lakes
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Avon
Very Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Very Low
Within state
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#3,129 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avon and the region

Centroid at 41.4404, -82.0395 · click any tract to drill in

Why Briar Lakes scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avon
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
0.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avon
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avon
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avon
3.6

How Briar Lakes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Briar Lakes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.11.1This tracttract 013201Avon: 2.42.4Avonparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Briar Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Briar Lakes

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Avon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lorain County average of 5.3 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093013201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093013201?

Census tract 39093013201 in the Briar Lakes neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093013201?

0.3% of residents in tract 39093013201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,747.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093013201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 13th, minority 29th, housing 3th.
Q4

Is tract 39093013201 considered part of Briar Lakes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093013201 fall within Briar Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 39093013201 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 39093013201 compare to Avon overall?

Tract 39093013201 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Avon at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Avon

Top eight tracts in Avon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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