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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

River East Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095004800 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,633 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

For landlords sizing up River East in Toledo, census tract 39095004800 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #11,486 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 70% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 58% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,065 monthly, set against $28,780 in average yearly household income, roughly 44% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 16% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,136
Renter share53.3%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate64.7%
Median income$28,780

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In River East
Very High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#159 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6436, -83.5241 · click any tract to drill in

Why River East scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
64.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,065 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How River East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
River East risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 004800Toledo: 3.33.3Toledoparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,988Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 19.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.9%Peak (2014)
  • 109Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390950048002003: 129 filings (16.39/100 renter HHs)2004: 140 filings (17.79/100 renter HHs)2005: 144 filings (21.92/100 renter HHs)2006: 132 filings (20.09/100 renter HHs)2007: 126 filings (19.18/100 renter HHs)2008: 151 filings (22.98/100 renter HHs)2009: 118 filings (17.96/100 renter HHs)2010: 124 filings (17.74/100 renter HHs)2011: 130 filings (18.34/100 renter HHs)2012: 139 filings (19.61/100 renter HHs)2013: 119 filings (16.78/100 renter HHs)2014: 162 filings (22.85/100 renter HHs)2015: 132 filings (18.62/100 renter HHs)2016: 133 filings (19.79/100 renter HHs)2018: 109 filings (16.22/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within River East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River East

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,988 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 19.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 22.9% of renter households in 2014.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095004800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095004800?

Census tract 39095004800 in the River East neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095004800?

Median gross rent is $1,065/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095004800?

64.7% of residents in tract 39095004800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,633.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095004800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 88th, minority 62th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 39095004800 considered part of River East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095004800 fall within River East (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095004800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,988 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095004800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.08% of renter households, peaking at 22.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39095004800 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39095004800 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095004800 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39095004800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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