Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
River East Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo
Tract 39095004800 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,633 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
39095004800 is a census tract in the River East area of Toledo, OH. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 58%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,136
Renter share53.3%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate64.7%
Median income$28,780
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6436, -83.5241 · click any tract to drill in
Why River East scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
64.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,065 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0
How River East compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 66%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,988Total filings over 15 yrs
- 19.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.9%Peak (2014)
- 109Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within River East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.0%Housing insecurity
- 28.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 46.3%Food insecurity
- 51.4%SNAP enrollment
- 23.8%Transit barriers
- 20.5%No health insurance
- 26.2%Frequent mental distress
- 48.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in River East
Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 41.3% across Lucas County. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Food insecurity runs 46.3% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 65%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $28,780 and the ratio lands at 44%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
It sits 1.2 points above the Lucas County average of 4.2. Average gross rent is $1,065, 18% above the Toledo average. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.5% against 11.3% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,988 filings here across 15 tracked years.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39095004800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095004800?
Census tract 39095004800 in the River East neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39095004800?
Median gross rent is $1,065/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095004800?
64.7% of residents in tract 39095004800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,633.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095004800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 88th, minority 62th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 39095004800 considered part of River East?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095004800 fall within River East (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095004800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,988 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095004800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.08% of renter households, peaking at 22.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39095004800 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39095004800 compare to Toledo overall?
Tract 39095004800 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39095004800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Uptown
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Inverness Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Inverness Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Old Orchard
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Scott Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Vistula Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Birmingham
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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