Belle Vista Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown
Tract 39099802900 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 2,622 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
How risky is the Belle Vista area of Youngstown for landlords? Census tract 39099802900 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 94% of US census tracts.
59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $706 a month against an average household income of $32,381 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Youngstown and the region
Centroid at 41.1051, -80.6964 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belle Vista scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Belle Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 54%Grade B
- 43%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 300Total filings over 7 yrs
- 8.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2016)
- 60Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.8%Housing insecurity
- 21.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.7%Food insecurity
- 38.2%SNAP enrollment
- 18.7%Transit barriers
- 16.3%No health insurance
- 24.1%Frequent mental distress
- 42.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Belle Vista
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 39099802900
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099802900?
What is the average rent in tract 39099802900?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099802900?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099802900?
Is tract 39099802900 considered part of Belle Vista?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099802900?
What share of households in tract 39099802900 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39099802900 compare to Youngstown overall?
Was tract 39099802900 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown
Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.