Belle Vista Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Against Mahoning County at 42.6%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 44%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Food insecurity runs 36.7% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. Against the Mahoning County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The filing record is not thin: 300 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2016, when 9.7% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 8.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.