Wick Park Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown

Cost burden runs 62% here against 42.6% across Mahoning County. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 53%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $24,509, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10.

Against the Mahoning County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Housing insecurity runs 23.7% against 14.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 289 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2010, when 8.5% of renter households were served.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.