Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Kensington Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown
Tract 39099804300 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 898 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
39099804300 is a census tract in the Kensington area of Youngstown, OH. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 898 residents. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units340
Renter share41.8%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate53.1%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Youngstown and the region
Centroid at 41.1280, -80.6404 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kensington scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
53.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
How Kensington compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 10%Grade A
- 43%Grade B
- 20%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 221Total filings over 7 yrs
- 15.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.4%Peak (2012)
- 31Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 35% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.5%Housing insecurity
- 28.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 46.6%Food insecurity
- 50.7%SNAP enrollment
- 24.3%Transit barriers
- 18.4%No health insurance
- 24.6%Frequent mental distress
- 47.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kensington
Food insecurity runs 46.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 50.7% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 53%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. Cost burden runs 32% here against 42.6% across Mahoning County.
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
It sits 1.4 points above the Mahoning County average of 4.5. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 221 filings here across 7 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 20.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 15.4% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099804300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099804300?
Census tract 39099804300 in the Kensington neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099804300?
53.1% of residents in tract 39099804300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 898.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099804300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 98th, minority 80th, housing 33th.
Q4
Is tract 39099804300 considered part of Kensington?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099804300 fall within Kensington (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099804300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 221 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099804300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.44% of renter households, peaking at 20.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39099804300 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 28.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39099804300 compare to Youngstown overall?
Tract 39099804300 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 39099804300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown
Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Lansdowne
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
East High
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Schenley Park
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Gibsonville
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Belle Vista
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Cochran Park East
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Lansingville Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Wick Park Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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