Crandall Park South Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

The severe-burden share is 34%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. SNAP participation is 34.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Running hot is housing-court posture at 8.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Average gross rent is $851, 17% above the Youngstown average of $728. The filing record is not thin: 61 evictions logged in this tract.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 22.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 4.1% of renter households. Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Youngstown, it ranks #18 by risk, the lower third.

Judgments average 2.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Glacier Heights and Upper West Side score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $39,720.

One tract means one number: 5.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.