Stambaugh Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 54%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The severe-burden share is 31%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 33.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Set annual rent against average household income of $22,546 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 8.6/10. Disability prevalence reaches 45.9% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Court records carry 495 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 25.0% of renter households. Among the 26 mapped neighborhoods of Youngstown, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

Judgments average 5.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

With little internal variation, 5.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.