2 census tracts · pop 4,313 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10
· range 4.4–5.9
Old Furnace District spans 2 census tracts of Youngstown, OH, population 4,313. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, Moderate tier. Against a Youngstown baseline of 34.3%, 46% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. 24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot is housing-court posture at 8.6/10. At $896 a month, rents sit 23% over what the rest of Youngstown commands. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.4 to 5.9, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10. The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filings are well documented here: 250 across 2 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 8.2% of renter households. That places it #24 of 26 neighborhoods in Youngstown.
Judgments average 3.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
For a like-for-like read, Lansdowne and Crandal Park North-Fifth Avenue Historic District score within a fraction of it.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Old Furnace District vs YoungstownHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport29%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Old Furnace District
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
250Total filings (sum)
5.57%Avg annual filing rate
8.2%Peak year (2016)
5.52%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Old Furnace District
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.5%Housing insecurity
11.2%Utility shutoff threat
18.7%Food insecurity
17.2%SNAP enrollment
9.0%No health insurance
32.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Old Furnace District
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Old Furnace District?
Old Furnace District scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Old Furnace District compare to Youngstown overall?
Old Furnace District scores 0.3 points higher than Youngstown overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $896 vs $728.
Q3
What is the average rent in Old Furnace District?
Average gross rent in Old Furnace District is $896/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Old Furnace District residents are renters?
19% of Old Furnace District households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Youngstown). The neighborhood has 4,313 residents.
Q5
Is Old Furnace District a high social-vulnerability area?
Old Furnace District sits in the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Old Furnace District have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Old Furnace District is census tract 39099802500 (score 5.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.4 to 5.9, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7
How safe is Old Furnace District for landlords?
Old Furnace District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Youngstown as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Old Furnace District?
Old Furnace District has 4,382 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.5%), Hispanic / Latino (8.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
