West Third Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton
Tract 39113003500 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,036 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39113003500 in the West Third Street Historic District area of Dayton, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,036 residents. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7390, -84.2080 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Third Street Historic District scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow West Third Street Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 39%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 563Total filings over 17 yrs
- 6.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.7%Peak (2002)
- 30Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 37.6%Housing insecurity
- 34.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 51.9%Food insecurity
- 58.4%SNAP enrollment
- 26.9%Transit barriers
- 15.2%No health insurance
- 23.7%Frequent mental distress
- 49.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in West Third Street Historic District
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity runs 51.9% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 37.6% against 14.2% nationally.
The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Set annual rent against average income of $32,277 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Court records carry 563 eviction filings across 17 observed years. The worst year on record was 2002, when 7.7% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.7% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 39113003500
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113003500?
What is the average rent in tract 39113003500?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113003500?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113003500?
Is tract 39113003500 considered part of West Third Street Historic District?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113003500?
What share of households in tract 39113003500 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39113003500 compare to Dayton overall?
Was tract 39113003500 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.