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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

West Third Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113003500 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,036 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39113003500 in the West Third Street Historic District area of Dayton, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,036 residents. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 19% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units853
Renter share53.7%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate41.5%
Median income$32,277

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In West Third Street Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#15 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Elevated
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7390, -84.2080 · click any tract to drill in

Why West Third Street Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
41.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$889 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How West Third Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West Third Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0035004.0Daytonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 563Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 6.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak (2002)
  • 30Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113003500
Filings dropped 35% over the past 17 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West Third Street Historic District

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity runs 51.9% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 37.6% against 14.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Set annual rent against average income of $32,277 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Court records carry 563 eviction filings across 17 observed years. The worst year on record was 2002, when 7.7% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.7% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113003500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113003500?

Census tract 39113003500 in the West Third Street Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113003500?

Median gross rent is $889/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113003500?

41.5% of residents in tract 39113003500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,036.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113003500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 98th, minority 87th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 39113003500 considered part of West Third Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113003500 fall within West Third Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113003500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 563 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113003500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.73% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39113003500 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 34.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39113003500 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113003500 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39113003500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 39% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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