West Third Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity affects 51.9% of adults, 34.1 points above the national rate.

The poverty rate is 42%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average household income of $32,277 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Disability prevalence reaches 49.3% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. The filing record is not thin: 563 evictions logged in this tract.

The worst year on record was 2002, when filings touched 7.7% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 8.1% in 2018 against a 7.7% peak. Among the 13 mapped neighborhoods of Dayton, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.