Fort McKinley Eviction Risk: Moderate

Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Montgomery County average of 4.2.

The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 27.5% against 15.2% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Food insecurity runs 27.6% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 3,107 eviction filings across 17 observed years. At $922 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Fort McKinley commands.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 15.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 11.6% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.