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Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Kettering Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 39113021200 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,894

Tract 39113021200 sits in Kettering eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. Population here is 1,894. Cost burden runs 62% here against 42.9% across Montgomery County.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 7% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units751
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$71,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 23 tracts In Kettering
Moderate
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#100 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#2,053 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
National
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#63,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kettering and the region

Centroid at 39.7112, -84.1302 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kettering scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kettering
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$690 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kettering
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kettering
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kettering
4.9

How Kettering compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kettering risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0212004.0Ketteringparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 124Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 3.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.4%Peak (2008)
  • 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113021200
Filings dropped 22% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kettering

Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $690 a month, rents run 34% under what the rest of Kettering commands.

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Montgomery County average of 4.2.

The filing record is not thin: 124 evictions over 16 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2008 at 12.4% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.1/10.

Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $71,625, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113021200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113021200?

Census tract 39113021200 in Kettering scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113021200?

Median gross rent is $690/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113021200?

5.8% of residents in tract 39113021200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,894.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113021200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 23th, minority 36th, housing 28th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113021200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 124 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 39113021200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.67% of renter households, peaking at 12.4% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113021200 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113021200 compare to Kettering overall?

Tract 39113021200 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Kettering at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kettering eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39113021200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Kettering

Top eight tracts in Kettering ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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