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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Circleville Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39129020200 · Pickaway County, OH · pop 2,815 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

For landlords sizing up the Circleville Historic District area of Circleville, census tract 39129020200 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. That is riskier than about 49% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $825 a month against an average household income of $49,796 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 34% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,228
Renter share59.0%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$49,796

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Circleville Historic District
Low
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Circleville
Elevated
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 16 tracts In Pickaway County
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#894 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Circleville and the region

Centroid at 39.5971, -82.9368 · click any tract to drill in

Why Circleville Historic District scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Circleville
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$825 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Circleville
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Circleville
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Circleville
6.4

How Circleville Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Circleville Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 020200Circleville: 2.82.8Circlevilleparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 98Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 4.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.8%Peak (2011)
  • 32Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2011
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391290202002005: 19 filings (3.45/100 renter HHs)2006: 28 filings (5.08/100 renter HHs)2010: 19 filings (3.74/100 renter HHs)2011: 32 filings (5.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 68% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Circleville Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Circleville Historic District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Circleville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pickaway County average of 4.8 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39129020200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39129020200?

Census tract 39129020200 in the Circleville Historic District neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39129020200?

Median gross rent is $825/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39129020200?

20.5% of residents in tract 39129020200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,815.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39129020200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 41th, minority 5th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 39129020200 considered part of Circleville Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39129020200 fall within Circleville Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39129020200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 98 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 39129020200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.52% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39129020200 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39129020200 compare to Circleville overall?

Tract 39129020200 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Circleville at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Circleville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Circleville

Top eight tracts in Circleville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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