Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Chapel Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Akron
Tract 39153502102 · Summit County, OH · pop 4,198 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 39153502102 in Chapel Hill in Akron ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,198 residents. It lands near the 67th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $895 monthly, set against $37,739 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 71% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,060
Renter share71.4%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate28.6%
Median income$37,739
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Akron and the region
Centroid at 41.1097, -81.4784 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chapel Hill scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Akron
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
28.6% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$895 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Akron
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Akron
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Akron
4.0
How Chapel Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 55%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,173Total filings over 17 yrs
- 5.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.5%Peak (2013)
- 56Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 26% over the past 17 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.1%Housing insecurity
- 13.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.1%Food insecurity
- 23.5%SNAP enrollment
- 12.8%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 19.5%Frequent mental distress
- 38.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chapel Hill
What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Akron eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Summit County average of 5.2 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,173 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 5.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.5% of renter households in 2013.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39153502102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39153502102?
Census tract 39153502102 in the Chapel Hill neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39153502102?
Median gross rent is $895/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39153502102?
28.6% of residents in tract 39153502102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,198.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39153502102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 43th, minority 62th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 39153502102 considered part of Chapel Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39153502102 fall within Chapel Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39153502102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,173 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39153502102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.11% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39153502102 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39153502102 compare to Akron overall?
Tract 39153502102 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Akron at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Akron eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39153502102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Akron
Top eight tracts in Akron ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Forest Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
SoDo District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Thomastown
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Highland Square
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Sherbondy Hill
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Akron
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Spicertown
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
East Akron
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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