Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Austin Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warren
Tract 39155920900 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 3,315 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 39155920900 covers part of the Austin Village area of Warren, OH, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,315. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,305
Renter share56.3%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate29.6%
Median income$38,542
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warren and the region
Centroid at 41.2438, -80.8554 · click any tract to drill in
Why Austin Village scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Warren
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
29.6% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$913 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warren
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warren
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warren
8.4
How Austin Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 48Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2016)
- 48Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.6%Housing insecurity
- 19.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.2%Food insecurity
- 33.3%SNAP enrollment
- 16.0%Transit barriers
- 12.2%No health insurance
- 22.3%Frequent mental distress
- 38.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Austin Village
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
It sits 1.7 points above the Trumbull County average of 4.1. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10.
At $913 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Warren commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Trumbull County average of 39.0%. Housing insecurity runs 23.6% against 14.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 48 filings here across 1 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 6.6% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Warren. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155920900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155920900?
Census tract 39155920900 in the Austin Village neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155920900?
Median gross rent is $913/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155920900?
29.6% of residents in tract 39155920900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,315.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155920900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 73th, minority 74th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 39155920900 considered part of Austin Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155920900 fall within Austin Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155920900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155920900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.63% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155920900 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155920900 compare to Warren overall?
Tract 39155920900 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Warren at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39155920900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warren
Top eight tracts in Warren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Deemer
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Amvets
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Tod Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Park Avenue Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Brookside Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Fairview Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Historic Perkins District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Jefferson
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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