Jefferson Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warren
Tract 39155934000 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 4,999 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 39155934000 in the Jefferson area of Warren, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,999 residents. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Warren and the region
Centroid at 41.2088, -80.8207 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jefferson scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Jefferson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 11%Grade C
- 6%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 36.7%Housing insecurity
- 33.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 54.4%Food insecurity
- 62.3%SNAP enrollment
- 28.2%Transit barriers
- 18.3%No health insurance
- 26.6%Frequent mental distress
- 51.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Jefferson
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity runs 54.4% against 17.8% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 33.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 54%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $24,698, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the Trumbull County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.
On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
40% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 39155934000
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155934000?
What is the average rent in tract 39155934000?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155934000?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155934000?
Is tract 39155934000 considered part of Jefferson?
What share of households in tract 39155934000 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39155934000 compare to Warren overall?
Was tract 39155934000 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Warren
Top eight tracts in Warren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.