Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Brookside Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warren
Tract 39155921200 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 1,675 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 39155921200 covers part of the Brookside Park area of Warren, OH, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units714
Renter share41.5%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate30.2%
Median income$38,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Warren and the region
Centroid at 41.2676, -80.8383 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brookside Park scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Warren
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
30.2% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$583 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warren
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warren
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warren
8.4
How Brookside Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 17Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.0%Peak (2016)
- 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.1%Housing insecurity
- 14.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.2%Food insecurity
- 25.9%SNAP enrollment
- 12.9%Transit barriers
- 10.5%No health insurance
- 22.1%Frequent mental distress
- 37.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brookside Park
Against Trumbull County at 39.0%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
It sits 1.7 points above the Trumbull County average of 4.1. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.
At $583 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Warren commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 17 filings here across 1 tracked years.
Food insecurity runs 25.2% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 6.0% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155921200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155921200?
Census tract 39155921200 in the Brookside Park neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155921200?
Median gross rent is $583/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155921200?
30.2% of residents in tract 39155921200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,675.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155921200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 73th, minority 44th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 39155921200 considered part of Brookside Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155921200 fall within Brookside Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155921200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155921200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.01% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155921200 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155921200 compare to Warren overall?
Tract 39155921200 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Warren at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39155921200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Warren
Top eight tracts in Warren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Fairview Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Historic Perkins District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Jefferson
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Deemer
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Amvets
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Austin Village
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Tod Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Park Avenue Heights
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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