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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Edgewood Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Warren

Tract 39155920300 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 2,853 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 39155920300 sits in the Edgewood Park area of Warren eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. It is home to 2,853 residents. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 11% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,372
Renter share20.8%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$51,365

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Edgewood Park
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 13 tracts In Warren
Low
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 54 tracts In Trumbull County
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#881 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Warren and the region

Centroid at 41.2429, -80.7994 · click any tract to drill in

Why Edgewood Park scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Warren
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,073 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Warren
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Warren
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Warren
8.4

How Edgewood Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Edgewood Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 9203004.4Warrenparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 18Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.1%Peak (2016)
  • 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Edgewood Park

At $1,073 a month, rents run 40% over what the rest of Warren commands. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. The voucher gap is 21.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. Against Trumbull County at 39.0%, 45% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.0 points above the Trumbull County average of 4.1. The filing record is not thin: 18 evictions over 1 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 5.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Warren. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39155920300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155920300?

Census tract 39155920300 in the Edgewood Park neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39155920300?

Median gross rent is $1,073/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39155920300?

21.5% of residents in tract 39155920300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,853.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39155920300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 58th, minority 26th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 39155920300 considered part of Edgewood Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155920300 fall within Edgewood Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155920300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 18 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155920300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.11% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39155920300 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39155920300 compare to Warren overall?

Tract 39155920300 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Warren at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Warren eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39155920300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Warren

Top eight tracts in Warren ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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