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Census Tract · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Geary Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 40011959000 · Blaine County, OK · pop 1,735 · 45% of tract blocks fall in Geary

How risky is Geary in Blaine County for landlords? Census tract 40011959000 scores 4.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 31% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 32% of renter households, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,003 a month while the average household earns $57,250 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 16% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units766
Renter share24.2%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$57,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Geary
Very High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Blaine County
High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#313 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Elevated
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,578 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Geary and the region

Centroid at 35.6206, -98.4824 · click any tract to drill in

Why Geary scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Geary
2.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
1.9
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,003 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Geary
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Geary
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Geary
8.6

How Geary compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Geary risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 959000Geary: 2.62.6Gearyparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 32Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 0.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.2%Peak (2011)
  • 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 400119590002000: 1 filings (0.53/100 renter HHs)2001: 1 filings (0.53/100 renter HHs)2002: 2 filings (1.05/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (0.53/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 1 filings (0.46/100 renter HHs)2006: 1 filings (0.46/100 renter HHs)2007: 1 filings (0.46/100 renter HHs)2008: 2 filings (0.92/100 renter HHs)2009: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 2 filings (1.16/100 renter HHs)2011: 4 filings (2.21/100 renter HHs)2012: 3 filings (1.66/100 renter HHs)2013: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 2 filings (1.10/100 renter HHs)2015: 4 filings (2.21/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (0.69/100 renter HHs)2017: 4 filings (1.37/100 renter HHs)2018: 1 filings (0.34/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 19 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Geary

The score leans hardest on housing court bias at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Geary, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Blaine County average of 3.8 and above the Oklahoma statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 32 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 1.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.2% of renter households in 2011.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 40011959000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40011959000?

Census tract 40011959000 in Geary scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40011959000?

Median gross rent is $1,003/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40011959000?

20.7% of residents in tract 40011959000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,735.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40011959000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 91th, minority 36th, housing 75th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 40011959000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 32 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 40011959000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.98% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 40011959000 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40011959000 compare to Geary overall?

Tract 40011959000 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Geary at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Geary; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Geary

Top eight tracts in Geary ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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