Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Old Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oak Grove
Tract 41005022710 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 2,678 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Here is how census tract 41005022710, in Old Town in Oak Grove eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.4/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,678. On the national scale it ranks #13,232 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,874 a month while the average household earns $76,389 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 74% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,236
Renter share73.6%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$76,389
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Grove and the region
Centroid at 45.3055, -122.7474 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Town scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Grove
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,874 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Grove
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Grove
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Grove
6.5
How Old Town compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 257Total filings over 6 yrs
- 5.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.4%Peak (2009)
- 16Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 61% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Town
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oak Grove eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Clackamas County average of 5.8 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 257 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 5.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.4% of renter households in 2009.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41005022710
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005022710?
Census tract 41005022710 in the Old Town neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41005022710?
Median gross rent is $1,874/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41005022710?
11.9% of residents in tract 41005022710 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,678.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41005022710?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 56th, minority 43th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 41005022710 considered part of Old Town?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005022710 fall within Old Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005022710?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 257 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005022710 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.11% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41005022710 compare to Oak Grove overall?
Tract 41005022710 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Grove at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Grove
Top eight tracts in Oak Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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