Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Old Town Eviction Risk: Elevated , Oak Grove
Tract 41005021300 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 6,734 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 41005021300 sits in the Old Town area of Oak Grove eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,498
Renter share31.1%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$79,415
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Grove and the region
Centroid at 45.4127, -122.6441 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Town scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Grove
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,507 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Grove
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Grove
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Grove
6.3
How Old Town compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 289Total filings over 6 yrs
- 6.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2008)
- 24Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 66% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Town
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Clackamas County average of 5.6. Against Clackamas County at 50.1%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Court records carry 289 eviction filings across 6 observed years. At $1,507 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Oak Grove commands.
The worst year on record was 2008, when 10.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $79,415. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41005021300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005021300?
Census tract 41005021300 in the Old Town neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41005021300?
Median gross rent is $1,507/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41005021300?
6.3% of residents in tract 41005021300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,734.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41005021300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 86th, minority 42th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 41005021300 considered part of Old Town?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005021300 fall within Old Town (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005021300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 289 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005021300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.53% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41005021300 compare to Oak Grove overall?
Tract 41005021300 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Oak Grove at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Grove
Top eight tracts in Oak Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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