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Neighborhood · Oak Grove, OR

Old Town Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 9,412 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10 · range 6.7–7.6

Old Town spans 2 census tracts of Oak Grove, OR, population 9,412. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7/10, Elevated tier. Against a Oak Grove baseline of 33.1%, 55% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

27% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10. Filings are well documented here: 546 across 2 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 10.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.7% in 2013, is well off that peak.

Average gross rent is $1,611, 8% below the Oak Grove average of $1,744. Its 2 tracts score within 0.9 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $78,554.

43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Old Town vs Oak Grove How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.7% +65%
Oak Grove: 33.1%
Average gross rent
$1,611 -8%
Oak Grove: $1,744
Average HH income
$78,554 -4%
Oak Grove: $81,611
Poverty rate
7.9% -9%
Oak Grove: 8.6%
Renter share
43.2% +23%
Oak Grove: 35.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Old Town and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.7–7.6

Why Old Town scores 7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.1–8.3 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 7.9–8.2 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.6–6.7 across tracts
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
43% renter households · Range 7.4–9.1 across tracts
7.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.3–6.5 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
7.9% below poverty line · Range 1.6–3.0 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–4.4 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Old Town vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Old Town score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.0Old TownNeighborhood6.2Parent cityhost city6.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Old Town

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
41005022710 7.6 2,678 52% $1,874
41005021300 6.7 6,734 56% $1,507
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 71

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 61%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 77%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Old Town

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 546Total filings (sum)
  • 6.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.1%Peak year (2009)
  • 2.86%Latest filed (2013)
Frequently asked

About Old Town

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Old Town?

Old Town scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Old Town compare to Oak Grove overall?

Old Town scores 0.8 points higher than Oak Grove overall (6.2/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,611 vs $1,744.
Q3

What is the average rent in Old Town?

Average gross rent in Old Town is $1,611/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Old Town residents are renters?

43% of Old Town households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Oak Grove). The neighborhood has 9,412 residents.
Q5

Is Old Town a high social-vulnerability area?

Old Town sits in the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Old Town have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Old Town is census tract 41005022710 (score 7.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 7.6, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Old Town for landlords?

Old Town carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oak Grove as a whole (6.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Old Town?

Old Town has 9,739 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.2%), Hispanic / Latino (13.4%), Other / Multiracial (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Old Town

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oak Grove

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Old Town.

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