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Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Butte Falls Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41029002600 · Jackson County, OR · pop 2,662 · 3% of tract blocks fall in Butte Falls

The Elevated-tier score of 6.3/10 for census tract 41029002600 reflects conditions in Butte Falls, Oregon. On the national scale it ranks #15,114 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $896 a month while the average household earns $59,303 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 13% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,156
Renter share23.4%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$59,303

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Butte Falls
Moderate
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 52 tracts In Jackson County
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#228 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#15,522 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Butte Falls and the region

Centroid at 42.6709, -122.4764 · click any tract to drill in

Why Butte Falls scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Butte Falls
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$896 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Butte Falls
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Butte Falls
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Butte Falls
9.0

How Butte Falls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Butte Falls risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 002600Butte Falls: 7.07.0Butte Fallsparent cityCounty: 4.84.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 141Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 3.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.0%Peak (2010)
  • 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410290026002000: 9 filings (3.36/100 renter HHs)2001: 8 filings (2.99/100 renter HHs)2003: 8 filings (2.99/100 renter HHs)2004: 8 filings (2.99/100 renter HHs)2005: 12 filings (4.17/100 renter HHs)2006: 9 filings (3.13/100 renter HHs)2007: 15 filings (5.21/100 renter HHs)2008: 6 filings (2.08/100 renter HHs)2009: 9 filings (3.13/100 renter HHs)2010: 22 filings (7.01/100 renter HHs)2011: 9 filings (2.68/100 renter HHs)2012: 10 filings (2.98/100 renter HHs)2013: 11 filings (3.27/100 renter HHs)2016: 5 filings (1.66/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 14 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 64Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.81×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2026-05-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Butte Falls

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Butte Falls, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jackson County average of 6.1 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 141 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 3.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.0% of renter households in 2010.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41029002600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029002600?

Census tract 41029002600 in Butte Falls scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41029002600?

Median gross rent is $896/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41029002600?

15.4% of residents in tract 41029002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,662.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41029002600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 52th, minority 25th, housing 51th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029002600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 141 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41029002600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.40% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41029002600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.81× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41029002600 compare to Butte Falls overall?

Tract 41029002600 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Butte Falls at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Butte Falls; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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