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Census Tract · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Medford Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41029000702 · Jackson County, OR · pop 5,502 · 61% of tract blocks fall in Medford

The Elevated-tier score of 6.2/10 for census tract 41029000702 reflects conditions in Medford, Oregon. It lands near the 80th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,572 a month against an average household income of $81,043 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 18% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units2,079
Renter share28.3%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$81,043

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 22 tracts In Medford
Moderate
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#25 of 52 tracts In Jackson County
Moderate
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#393 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
National
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#23,554 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Medford and the region

Centroid at 42.2946, -122.8933 · click any tract to drill in

Why Medford scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medford
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,572 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
6.8

How Medford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Medford risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 000702Medford: 6.66.6Medfordparent cityCounty: 4.84.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 117Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.78×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-10-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-10-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-05-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-09-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 6 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2026-01-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2026-02-01: 9 filings (9.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Medford

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Medford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jackson County average of 6.1 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.78x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41029000702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000702?

Census tract 41029000702 in Medford scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41029000702?

Median gross rent is $1,572/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000702?

15.6% of residents in tract 41029000702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,502.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 54th, minority 32th, housing 32th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 41029000702 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 41029000702 compare to Medford overall?

Tract 41029000702 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Medford at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Medford

Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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