Valley Center Mobile Village Eviction Risk: Elevated
2 census tracts · pop 12,319 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10
· range 5.5–7.1
Valley Center Mobile Village is a 2-tract neighborhood of Central Point, OR and houses 12,319 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.3/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 52% against 30.1% citywide, putting Valley Center Mobile Village 21.5% over its own city.
Severe burden reaches 35%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.5 to 7.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10. Filings are well documented here: 1,011 across 2 observed tracts.
Running cool is economic stress, at 2.9/10. Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 5.0% of renter households. At $1,219 a month, rents sit 11% under what the rest of Central Point commands.
Recent filings have not receded much: 3.2% in 2016 against a 5.0% peak. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $62,004.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Valley Center Mobile Village vs Central PointHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority42%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport76%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Valley Center Mobile Village
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,011Total filings (sum)
4.00%Avg annual filing rate
5.0%Peak year (2013)
3.20%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
461Total filings 2020-21
3.0Avg monthly observed
3.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.97×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend, IN).
Frequently asked
About Valley Center Mobile Village
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Valley Center Mobile Village?
Valley Center Mobile Village scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Valley Center Mobile Village compare to Central Point overall?
Valley Center Mobile Village scores 0.4 points higher than Central Point overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,219 vs $1,364.
Q3
What is the average rent in Valley Center Mobile Village?
Average gross rent in Valley Center Mobile Village is $1,219/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Valley Center Mobile Village residents are renters?
36% of Valley Center Mobile Village households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Central Point). The neighborhood has 12,319 residents.
Q5
Is Valley Center Mobile Village a high social-vulnerability area?
Valley Center Mobile Village sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Valley Center Mobile Village have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Valley Center Mobile Village is census tract 41029000300 (score 7.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.5 to 7.1, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7
How safe is Valley Center Mobile Village for landlords?
Valley Center Mobile Village carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Central Point as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Valley Center Mobile Village?
Valley Center Mobile Village has 11,676 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.8%), Hispanic / Latino (18.3%), Other / Multiracial (7.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby
Other neighborhoods near Valley Center Mobile Village