3 census tracts · pop 9,190 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.4/10
· range 7.1–8
Kestrel Park is a 3-tract neighborhood of Ashland, OR and houses 9,190 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.4/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. The severe-burden share is 30%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Against a Ashland baseline of 36.8%, 45% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10.
The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Court records carry 335 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. On the high side is housing-court posture at 7.4/10.
Filing activity peaked in 2008 at 3.7% of renter households. At $1,528 a month, rents sit 10% over what the rest of Ashland commands.
The most recent observed rate, 1.5% in 2016, is well off that peak. Its 3 tracts score within 0.9 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $62,588. 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 7.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Kestrel Park vs AshlandHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport64%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Kestrel Park
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
335Total filings (sum)
1.66%Avg annual filing rate
3.7%Peak year (2008)
1.60%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
179Total filings 2020-21
0.7Avg monthly observed
0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
0.93×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend, IN).
Frequently asked
About Kestrel Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Kestrel Park?
Kestrel Park scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Kestrel Park compare to Ashland overall?
Kestrel Park scores 0.8 points higher than Ashland overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,528 vs $1,387.
Q3
What is the average rent in Kestrel Park?
Average gross rent in Kestrel Park is $1,528/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Kestrel Park residents are renters?
56% of Kestrel Park households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Ashland). The neighborhood has 9,190 residents.
Q5
Is Kestrel Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Kestrel Park sits in the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Kestrel Park have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Kestrel Park is census tract 41029001900 (score 8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.1 to 8, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7
How safe is Kestrel Park for landlords?
Kestrel Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ashland as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Kestrel Park?
Kestrel Park has 9,346 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.6%), Hispanic / Latino (10.6%), Other / Multiracial (9.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
