Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

Valley Center Mobile Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Central Point

Tract 41029000300 · Jackson County, OR · pop 6,161 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 41029000300 covers part of the Valley Center Mobile Village area of Medford, OR, and scores 7.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,161. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 17% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,717
Renter share35.8%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$51,887

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Valley Center Mobile Village
Very High
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#7 of 22 tracts In Central Point
Elevated
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 52 tracts In Jackson County
High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#255 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Central Point and the region

Centroid at 42.3516, -122.8890 · click any tract to drill in

Why Valley Center Mobile Village scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Central Point
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$909 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Central Point
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Central Point
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Central Point
6.8

How Valley Center Mobile Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Valley Center Mobile Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.1This tracttract 0003005.9Central Pointparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 644Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 4.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak (2013)
  • 50Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41029000300
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 290Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.06×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Valley Center Mobile Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Valley Center Mobile Village

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.2/10. Average gross rent is $909, 34% below the Medford average.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10.

roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Jackson County average of 46.7%. It sits 1.0 points above the Jackson County average of 6.1. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 644 filings here across 14 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 4.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.9% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #12,481 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41029000300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000300?

Census tract 41029000300 in the Valley Center Mobile Village neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41029000300?

Median gross rent is $909/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000300?

14.5% of residents in tract 41029000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,161.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 63th, minority 54th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 41029000300 considered part of Valley Center Mobile Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41029000300 fall within Valley Center Mobile Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029000300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 644 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41029000300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.87% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41029000300 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.06× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41029000300 compare to Central Point overall?

Tract 41029000300 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Central Point at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Central Point eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Central Point

Top eight tracts in Central Point ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related