Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Junction City Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41039000403 · Lane County, OR · pop 5,658 · 69% of tract blocks fall in Junction City
How risky is Junction City in Lane County for landlords? Census tract 41039000403 scores 4.7/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #60,622 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 17% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,052 a month against an average household income of $84,167 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,452
Renter share34.1%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$84,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Junction City and the region
Centroid at 44.2441, -123.2432 · click any tract to drill in
Why Junction City scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Junction City
7.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,052 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Junction City
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Junction City
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Junction City
5.0
How Junction City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 380Total filings over 16 yrs
- 3.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.1%Peak (2005)
- 24Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 192Total filings 2020-21
- 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.13×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Junction City
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Junction City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lane County average of 6.1 and below the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 380 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 3.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.1% of renter households in 2005.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.13x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039000403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039000403?
Census tract 41039000403 in Junction City scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039000403?
Median gross rent is $1,052/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039000403?
7.1% of residents in tract 41039000403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,658.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039000403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 29th, minority 29th, housing 63th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039000403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 380 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039000403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.85% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41039000403 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41039000403 compare to Junction City overall?
Tract 41039000403 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Junction City at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Junction City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Junction City
Top eight tracts in Junction City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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