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Junction City, Oregon eviction risk overview
City brief · 6,947 residents

Junction City, OR Eviction Risk: HIGH

Lane County · Population 6,947

In 2026
Risk score
7.5
HIGH

88th percentile, Oregon.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.6 Average3.2 Now7.5
10 5 1976 · score 1.7 1977 · score 1.7 1978 · score 1.7 1979 · score 1.9 1980 · score 1.6 1981 · score 1.7 1982 · score 1.7 1983 · score 1.7 1984 · score 1.6 1985 · score 1.6 1986 · score 1.7 1987 · score 1.7 1988 · score 2.3 1989 · score 2.3 1990 · score 2.4 1991 · score 2.4 1992 · score 2.6 1993 · score 2.6 1994 · score 2.6 1995 · score 2.7 1996 · score 2.7 1997 · score 2.7 1998 · score 2.8 1999 · score 2.9 2000 · score 2.4 2001 · score 2.5 2002 · score 2.6 2003 · score 2.6 2004 · score 2.9 2005 · score 2.9 2006 · score 3.0 2007 · score 3.1 2008 · score 3.7 2009 · score 3.9 2010 · score 3.9 2011 · score 4.0 2012 · score 3.9 2013 · score 4.0 2014 · score 4.0 2015 · score 4.2 2016 · score 4.3 2017 · score 4.5 2018 · score 4.7 2019 · score 5.0 2020 · score 5.8 2021 · score 5.8 2022 · score 5.8 2023 · score 5.9 2024 · score 5.9 2025 · score 4.6 2026 · score 7.5

Key metrics

Estimated values: The U.S. Census suppresses field-level data for small places. Estimated from constituent census tracts, pop-weighted from real underlying ACS data.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.3 Regional 7.3 State 7.2 Economic 3.7 Supply 3.3 Rent Control 6.4 Eviction 7.1 Tenant 4.3 Housing 5.0 7.5 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +23.2% (2024)
    7.3
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.3
  3. State political climate
    Oregon legislature & governorship
    7.2
  4. Economic stress
    9.4% poverty · 6.7% unemp.
    3.7
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,316 average · 40.7% renters
    3.3
  6. Rent Control risk
    25.6% of income on rent
    6.4
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    140 days filing → judgment
    7.1
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    40.7% renters
    4.3
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.0
Geographic context

Risk heat across Junction City and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Junction City compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Lane County
Elevated
#9 of 22 cities
Rank in county, 62nd percentileBottomTop
#9 of 22 cities in Lane County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Oregon
High
#63 of 425 cities
Rank in state, 85th percentileBottomTop
#63 of 425 cities in Oregon for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Junction City risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Junction City: 7.57.5Junction CityThis cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg in countyState: 7.47.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 7.5
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 7.5/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+5.8 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 140d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,316/mo. A contested eviction takes 140 days and costs $6,428-$17,325 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 40.7%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 6,947 residents, 40.7% rent. 26% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 9.4% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7.3
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.3 and 7.3 (Dem margin +23.2% (2024)). State climate at 7.2, a tenant-leaning legislature.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 7.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 7.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 7.1, housing court bias 5, rent-control risk 6.4. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +2.1 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 3.7
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 3.7. Supply constraint: 3.3. The numbers behind those: 9.4% poverty, 6.7% unemployment, 26% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Junction City sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Eugene, OR · 127d · ~$13.3k all-in ($104/day) · score 7.5 Eugene Salem, OR · 144d · ~$11.8k all-in ($82/day) · score 7.9 Salem Springfield, OR · 139d · ~$12.4k all-in ($89/day) · score 8.4 Springfield Corvallis, OR · 143d · ~$12.2k all-in ($85/day) · score 6.2 Corvallis Albany, OR · 131d · ~$11.7k all-in ($89/day) · score 7.7 Albany Portland, OR · 149d · ~$11.8k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.4 Portland Gresham, OR · 135d · ~$12.6k all-in ($94/day) · score 8.7 Gresham Hillsboro, OR · 133d · ~$11.2k all-in ($84/day) · score 7.2 Hillsboro Bend, OR · 129d · ~$13.2k all-in ($102/day) · score 7.2 Bend Beaverton, OR · 144d · ~$12.8k all-in ($89/day) · score 7 Beaverton Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Junction City
Junction City · 140d · ~$11.9k all-in ($85/day) · score 7.5 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Junction City, OR

Landlording in Junction City, Oregon, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.5/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Junction City is a city of 6,947 residents where 40.7% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 25.6% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,316/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Junction City eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 7.1/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Junction City closes 140 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Junction City's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Junction City runs $6,428 to $17,325 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 140 days of typical timeline and $1,316/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 4.3/10 in Junction City, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (6.4/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Oregon, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Junction City: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Oregon's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $17,325 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Junction City

Trap · 6.4/10
and the rent-burden distribution skews the eviction-filings curve toward moderate volume in Benton County. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 6.4/10. Tenant organizing is most active in the rental concentration corridors.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, county-level. Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 235 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 1.68× the historical baseline (above baseline). Past 12 months: 2,792 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 10,772.

  • 235Past month
  • 2,792Past 12 months
  • 1.68×vs baseline (past mo)
  • 18.1%Repeat-tenant filings
Notice requirement: at least ten days notice. Filing fee: minimum $88 filing fee (in some cases more).
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 - 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 131 filings (0.70× hist)2023-06-01: 110 filings (0.78× hist)2023-07-01: 160 filings (0.79× hist)2023-08-01: 225 filings (0.97× hist)2023-09-01: 209 filings (1.05× hist)2023-10-01: 149 filings (0.73× hist)2023-11-01: 218 filings (1.10× hist)2023-12-01: 195 filings (0.91× hist)2024-01-01: 205 filings (0.92× hist)2024-02-01: 194 filings (1.12× hist)2024-03-01: 190 filings (1.14× hist)2024-04-01: 204 filings (1.46× hist)2024-05-01: 242 filings (1.30× hist)2024-06-01: 171 filings (1.22× hist)2024-07-01: 246 filings (1.21× hist)2024-08-01: 238 filings (1.03× hist)2024-09-01: 191 filings (0.96× hist)2024-10-01: 259 filings (1.27× hist)2024-11-01: 177 filings (0.90× hist)2024-12-01: 236 filings (1.10× hist)2025-01-01: 180 filings (0.81× hist)2025-02-01: 242 filings (1.48× hist)2025-03-01: 198 filings (1.19× hist)2025-04-01: 233 filings (1.66× hist)2025-05-01: 199 filings (1.07× hist)2025-06-01: 190 filings (1.35× hist)2025-07-01: 281 filings (1.38× hist)2025-08-01: 237 filings (1.02× hist)2025-09-01: 269 filings (1.35× hist)2025-10-01: 258 filings (1.27× hist)2025-11-01: 186 filings (0.94× hist)2025-12-01: 226 filings (1.05× hist)2026-01-01: 245 filings (1.10× hist)2026-02-01: 206 filings (1.26× hist)2026-03-01: 260 filings (1.56× hist)2026-04-01: 235 filings (1.68× hist)
Filings climbed 18% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the absolute fastest I can evict a tenant for non-payment in Junction City?

Even in the best-case scenario, after issuing a 10-day pay-or-quit notice, you're looking at several weeks at minimum for the court process. The "fastest" is still likely over a month, but typically, it stretches much longer, closer to the 140-day average, especially if the tenant contests.
Q2

Can I just tell a tenant to leave if I want to sell my property in Junction City?

No, not without just cause if their tenancy is over 12 months. Oregon's statewide just-cause eviction law means you need a specific, legally defined reason. Selling the property might be a just cause if you or a family member intends to move in, but it's not a simple "no-cause" termination. Consult an attorney.
Q3

How much notice do I need to give for a rent increase in Junction City?

For month-to-month tenancies, Oregon requires a minimum of 90 days' written notice for any rent increase. There are also limits on how much you can increase rent annually (currently 7% plus inflation). Always check the latest state regulations.
Q4

What if my tenant causes damage to the property?

For substantial damage, you'd typically issue a 24-hour notice of termination. Document the damage thoroughly with photos and videos. If the damage is a lease violation that can be "cured" (e.g., unauthorized pets that can be removed), you'd issue a 14-day notice to cure or quit.
Q5

Do I need a lawyer for every eviction in Junction City?

While you can technically represent yourself in court, it's highly recommended to hire an attorney for evictions in Oregon. The laws are complex, and procedural errors are common and costly. Given the 7.1/10 eviction-process-difficulty, a lawyer significantly increases your chances of a successful and timely outcome.
Q6

Can I refuse to rent to someone who uses a Section 8 voucher in Junction City?

No. Oregon has statewide source-of-income protection. This means you cannot discriminate against applicants based on lawful sources of income, including housing assistance programs like Section 8. You must apply your screening criteria equally to all applicants.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 7.5/10 places Junction City in the 88th percentile of Oregon cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.