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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Grant Eviction Risk: Elevated , Salem

Tract 41047000300 · Marion County, OR · pop 4,675 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

The Grant area of Salem is where census tract 41047000300 sits, home to 4,675 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #11,520 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $979 a month while the average household earns $57,395 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 30% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,912
Renter share59.5%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$57,395

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Grant
Low
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 40 tracts In Salem
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 65 tracts In Marion County
High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#93 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Salem and the region

Centroid at 44.9572, -123.0272 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grant scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$979 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0

How Grant compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grant risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 000300Salem: 7.37.3Salemparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,116Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 6.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.0%Peak (2006)
  • 55Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410470003002000: 79 filings (7.79/100 renter HHs)2001: 64 filings (6.31/100 renter HHs)2002: 63 filings (6.21/100 renter HHs)2003: 74 filings (7.30/100 renter HHs)2004: 78 filings (7.69/100 renter HHs)2005: 77 filings (7.39/100 renter HHs)2006: 94 filings (9.02/100 renter HHs)2007: 71 filings (6.81/100 renter HHs)2008: 79 filings (7.58/100 renter HHs)2009: 69 filings (6.62/100 renter HHs)2010: 70 filings (6.40/100 renter HHs)2011: 65 filings (5.87/100 renter HHs)2012: 68 filings (6.14/100 renter HHs)2013: 54 filings (4.87/100 renter HHs)2014: 56 filings (5.05/100 renter HHs)2016: 55 filings (4.80/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 30% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Grant. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grant

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Marion County average of 6.2 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,116 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 6.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.0% of renter households in 2006.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047000300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047000300?

Census tract 41047000300 in the Grant neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047000300?

Median gross rent is $979/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047000300?

18.5% of residents in tract 41047000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,675.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047000300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 67th, minority 59th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 41047000300 considered part of Grant?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047000300 fall within Grant (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047000300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,116 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047000300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.62% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41047000300 compare to Salem overall?

Tract 41047000300 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Salem

Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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