Grant Eviction Risk: Elevated , Salem

21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Marion County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10.

The filing record is not thin: 297 evictions over 16 years of observation. 44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Marion County average of 48.4%. Running hot, local political climate reads 7/10.

At $1,231 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Salem commands. The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.1% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.