Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally
Grant Eviction Risk: Elevated , Salem
Tract 41047000200 · Marion County, OR · pop 4,225 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 41047000200 belongs to the Grant neighborhood of Salem, Oregon. It is home to 4,225 residents and scores 6.7/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 90% of US census tracts.
44% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,231 a month while the average household earns $59,375 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 78% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,808
Renter share77.6%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate26.3%
Median income$59,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Salem and the region
Centroid at 44.9421, -123.0350 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grant scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
26.3% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,231 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0
How Grant compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 297Total filings over 16 yrs
- 2.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.1%Peak (2016)
- 29Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Grant. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grant
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Salem eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Marion County average of 6.2 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 297 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 2.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.1% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41047000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047000200?
Census tract 41047000200 in the Grant neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41047000200?
Median gross rent is $1,231/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41047000200?
26.3% of residents in tract 41047000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,225.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41047000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 22th, minority 52th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 41047000200 considered part of Grant?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41047000200 fall within Grant (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047000200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 297 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.26% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41047000200 compare to Salem overall?
Tract 41047000200 scores 6.9/10, lower than the parent city of Salem at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Salem
Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Oak Park
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Oak Park
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Oak Park
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Highland
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Highland
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Oak Park
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Grant
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41047001000
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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