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Neighborhood · Salem, OR

Grant Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 19,194 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.5/10 · range 6.9–7.8

Grant takes in 4 census tracts of Salem, OR and houses 19,194 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.5/10, Elevated tier. Against a Salem baseline of 32.5%, 48% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 2/10. 18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,084 a month, rents sit 23% under what the rest of Salem commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 3,652 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 10.6% of renter households. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7/10. Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Salem, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third.

Judgments average 2.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 4 tracts score within 0.9 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $58,364.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Grant vs Salem How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.2% +48%
Salem: 32.5%
Average gross rent
$1,084 -23%
Salem: $1,400
Average HH income
$58,364 -19%
Salem: $71,900
Poverty rate
19.5% +33%
Salem: 14.7%
Renter share
57.6% +31%
Salem: 44.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grant and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 6.9–7.8

Why Grant scores 7.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
58% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
19.5% below poverty line · Range 3.5–6.6 across tracts
4.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–3.0 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Grant vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Grant score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.5GrantNeighborhood6.4Parent cityhost city6.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Grant?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.9 points from 6.9 to 7.8. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Grant

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
41047000900 7.8 5,725 46% $1,027
41047000200 7.8 4,225 44% $1,231
41047000300 7.5 4,675 49% $979
41047000600 6.9 4,569 54% $1,125
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 73%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 53%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 86%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Grant

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,652Total filings (sum)
  • 5.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.6%Peak year (2016)
  • 4.59%Latest filed (2016)
Frequently asked

About Grant

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Grant?

Grant scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Grant compare to Salem overall?

Grant scores 1.1 points higher than Salem overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,084 vs $1,400.
Q3

What is the average rent in Grant?

Average gross rent in Grant is $1,084/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Grant residents are renters?

58% of Grant households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Salem). The neighborhood has 19,194 residents.
Q5

Is Grant a high social-vulnerability area?

Grant sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Grant have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Grant is census tract 41047000900 (score 7.8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.9 to 7.8, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Grant for landlords?

Grant carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Salem as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Grant?

Grant has 19,733 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.3%), Hispanic / Latino (21.9%), Other / Multiracial (8.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Grant

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Salem

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Grant.

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