Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
West Salem Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 41053005100 · Polk County, OR · pop 2,669 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 41053005100 covers part of the West Salem area of Salem, OR, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,040
Renter share53.8%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$59,032
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Salem and the region
Centroid at 44.9448, -123.0570 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Salem scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Salem
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,126 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Salem
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Salem
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Salem
7.0
How West Salem compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 238Total filings over 8 yrs
- 5.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.8%Peak (2002)
- 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within West Salem. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West Salem
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2.3/10. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Polk County average of 47.3%. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.
At $1,126 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Salem commands. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 238 evictions over 8 years of observation.
Against the Polk County average of 6.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Filings peaked in 2002 at 7.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $59,032.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41053005100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41053005100?
Census tract 41053005100 in the West Salem neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41053005100?
Median gross rent is $1,126/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41053005100?
14.6% of residents in tract 41053005100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,669.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41053005100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 77th, minority 60th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 41053005100 considered part of West Salem?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41053005100 fall within West Salem (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41053005100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 238 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 41053005100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.90% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41053005100 compare to Salem overall?
Tract 41053005100 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Salem at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Salem eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Salem
Top eight tracts in Salem ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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