Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Mocks Bottom Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 41051004002 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 6,717 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 41051004002 sits in the Mocks Bottom area of Portland eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.8/10. It is home to 6,717 residents. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,711
Renter share28.0%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate18.8%
Median income$110,313
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5767, -122.7312 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mocks Bottom scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
18.8% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$2,050 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Mocks Bottom compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 47%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 140Total filings over 16 yrs
- 1.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2004)
- 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 99Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mocks Bottom. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mocks Bottom
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
At $2,050 a month, rents run 24% over what the rest of Portland commands. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Cost burden runs 45% here against 49.7% across Multnomah County.
The filing record is not thin: 140 evictions over 16 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2004 at 4.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.1/10.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051004002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051004002?
Census tract 41051004002 in the Mocks Bottom neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051004002?
Median gross rent is $2,050/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051004002?
18.8% of residents in tract 41051004002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,717.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051004002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 3th, minority 54th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 41051004002 considered part of Mocks Bottom?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051004002 fall within Mocks Bottom (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051004002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 140 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051004002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.73% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051004002 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051004002 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051004002 scores 7.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051004002 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Gateway
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Nob Hill
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Pleasant Valley
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Russellville
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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