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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Mocks Bottom Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland

Tract 41051003903 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,231 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 41051003903 covers part of the Mocks Bottom area of Portland, OR, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,231 residents. around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Multnomah County average of 49.7%.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 33% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,305
Renter share48.0%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$118,627

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Mocks Bottom
High
Within parent city
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#81 of 168 tracts In Portland
Moderate
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#85 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
Elevated
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#144 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.5852, -122.7092 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mocks Bottom scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,282 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How Mocks Bottom compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mocks Bottom risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.7This tracttract 0039037.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 63Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.66×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mocks Bottom. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mocks Bottom

The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. At $1,282 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Portland commands. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #9,433 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 4.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $118,627, annual rent is just 13%.

Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051003903

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051003903?

Census tract 41051003903 in the Mocks Bottom neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051003903?

Median gross rent is $1,282/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051003903?

19.7% of residents in tract 41051003903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,231.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051003903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 16th, minority 54th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 41051003903 considered part of Mocks Bottom?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051003903 fall within Mocks Bottom (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41051003903 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41051003903 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051003903 scores 7.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 41051003903 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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