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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Terwilliger Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland

Tract 41051000102 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,746 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

41051000102 is a census tract in the Terwilliger area of Portland, OR. It scores 7.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,746 residents. Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 18% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,806
Renter share42.2%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$88,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Terwilliger
Very High
Within parent city
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#100 of 168 tracts In Portland
Moderate
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#111 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
Moderate
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#239 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.4794, -122.6586 · click any tract to drill in

Why Terwilliger scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,789 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How Terwilliger compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Terwilliger risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.2This tracttract 0001027.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 97Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.13×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Terwilliger. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Terwilliger

The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Cost burden runs 57% here against 49.7% across Multnomah County. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

At $1,789 a month, rents run 8% over what the rest of Portland commands. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Multnomah County average of 7.4 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051000102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051000102?

Census tract 41051000102 in the Terwilliger neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051000102?

Median gross rent is $1,789/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051000102?

7.1% of residents in tract 41051000102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,746.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051000102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 8th, minority 24th, housing 32th.
Q5

Is tract 41051000102 considered part of Terwilliger?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051000102 fall within Terwilliger (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41051000102 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 3.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41051000102 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051000102 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 41051000102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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