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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tigard

Tract 41067030806 · Washington County, OR · pop 2,802 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 41067030806 covers part of the Lake Forest area of Tigard, OR, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.8/10.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 11% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,030
Renter share16.6%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$130,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lake Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 12 tracts In Tigard
Moderate
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#89 of 134 tracts In Washington County
Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#656 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tigard and the region

Centroid at 45.4084, -122.7555 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Forest scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tigard
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,576 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tigard
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tigard
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tigard
5.6

How Lake Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0308066.2Tigardparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 101Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 5.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2018)
  • 23Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41067030806
Filings climbed 64% over the past 6 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 30Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.37×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Forest

Cost burden runs 36% here against 45.7% across Washington County. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10.

14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 101 eviction filings across 6 observed years.

At $1,576 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Tigard commands. The worst year on record was 2018, when 7.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 4.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $130,625, annual rent is just 14%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Washington County average of 6.1 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 41067030806

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41067030806?

Census tract 41067030806 in the Lake Forest neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41067030806?

Median gross rent is $1,576/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41067030806?

7.2% of residents in tract 41067030806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,802.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41067030806?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 20th, minority 31th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 41067030806 considered part of Lake Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41067030806 fall within Lake Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41067030806?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 101 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41067030806 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.35% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41067030806 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.37× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41067030806 compare to Tigard overall?

Tract 41067030806 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Tigard at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tigard eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tigard

Top eight tracts in Tigard ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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