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Neighborhood · Aspinwall, PA

Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 3,275 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3–7.3

Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar takes in 2 census tracts of Aspinwall, PA, population 3,275. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.5/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3 to 7.3. A 4.3-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Against a Aspinwall baseline of 24.0%, 38% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 2.1/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10. Average gross rent is $1,078, 19% below the Aspinwall average of $1,330.

Court records for this tract carry 70 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 2.5% of renter households. Judgments average 0.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Against average income of $105,783, annual rent is only 12%, a wide affordability cushion. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar vs Aspinwall How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.7% +57%
Aspinwall: 24.0%
Average gross rent
$1,078 -19%
Aspinwall: $1,330
Average HH income
$105,783 -12%
Aspinwall: $119,875
Poverty rate
8.6% +424%
Aspinwall: 1.6%
Renter share
33.2% -12%
Aspinwall: 37.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–7.3

Why Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.4–6.5 across tracts
6.4
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 3.4–4.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1–6.0 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
33% renter households · Range 6.0–7.8 across tracts
7.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.7–6.0 across tracts
3.1
Economic stress
8.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–10.0 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.5–5.0 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.5Lincoln-Lemington-Neighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42003981800 7.3 385 , ,
42003423000 3 2,890 43% $1,222
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 25

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 6%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 72%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 31%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 41%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 70Total filings (sum)
  • 1.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.5%Peak year (2006)
  • 2.54%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar?

Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar compare to Aspinwall overall?

Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar scores 0.5 points lower than Aspinwall overall (4/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $1,078 vs $1,330.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar?

Average gross rent in Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar is $1,078/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar residents are renters?

33% of Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Aspinwall). The neighborhood has 3,275 residents.
Q5

Is Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar a high social-vulnerability area?

Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar is census tract 42003981800 (score 7.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 7.3, a spread of 4.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar for landlords?

Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aspinwall as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar?

Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar has 3,210 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

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