Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar Eviction Risk: Lower , Aspinwall
Tract 42003423000 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 2,890 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
How risky is Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar in Aspinwall for landlords? Census tract 42003423000 scores 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #43,280 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,222 a month against an average household income of $119,875 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,189
Renter share37.6%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate1.6%
Median income$119,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aspinwall and the region
Centroid at 40.4928, -79.9031 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Aspinwall
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
1.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,222 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aspinwall
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aspinwall
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aspinwall
2.7
How Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 48%Grade B
- 17%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 70Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.5%Peak (2006)
- 15Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 88% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aspinwall, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 70 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 1.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.5% of renter households in 2006.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42003423000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003423000?
Census tract 42003423000 in the Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42003423000?
Median gross rent is $1,222/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42003423000?
1.6% of residents in tract 42003423000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,890.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42003423000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 72th, minority 31th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 42003423000 considered part of Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003423000 fall within Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003423000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 70 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42003423000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.46% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42003423000 compare to Aspinwall overall?
Tract 42003423000 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Aspinwall at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspinwall; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42003423000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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