Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar Eviction Risk: Elevated , Aspinwall

Tract 42003981800 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 385 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

Census tract 42003981800 belongs to Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar in Aspinwall, Pennsylvania. It is home to 385 residents and scores 6.4/10, an elevated reading for landlords. It lands near the 84th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%

Tract context

SVI overall-10.00

Poverty rate60.7%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aspinwall and the region

Centroid at 40.4775, -79.8965 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Aspinwall

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.0

State political climate

Pennsylvania legislature & governorship

3.4

Economic stress

60.7% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Aspinwall

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Aspinwall

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Aspinwall

6.0

How Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: -1,000

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

-1,000%Socioeconomic
-1,000%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
-1,000%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
5%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aspinwall, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 1000th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003981800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003981800?

Census tract 42003981800 in the Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003981800?

60.7% of residents in tract 42003981800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 385.

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003981800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 45th, housing -1000th.

Is tract 42003981800 considered part of Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003981800 fall within Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 42003981800 compare to Aspinwall overall?

Tract 42003981800 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Aspinwall at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspinwall; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 42003981800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aspinwall

Top eight tracts in Aspinwall ranked by composite eviction-risk score.