Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar Eviction Risk: Elevated , Aspinwall
Tract 42003981800 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 385 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
42003981800 is a census tract in the Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar area of Pittsburgh, PA. It scores 7.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 385. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 100%
Tract context
SVI overall-10.00
Poverty rate60.7%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aspinwall and the region
Centroid at 40.4775, -79.8965 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Aspinwall
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
60.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aspinwall
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aspinwall
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aspinwall
6.0
How Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: -1,000
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- -1,000%Socioeconomic
- -1,000%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- -1,000%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar
The poverty rate is 61%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 2.3 points above the Allegheny County average of 5.0.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.8/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter. Model confidence here is 60%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42003981800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003981800?
Census tract 42003981800 in the Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 42003981800?
60.7% of residents in tract 42003981800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 385.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 42003981800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the -1000th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic -1000th, household -1000th, minority 45th, housing -1000th.
Q4
Is tract 42003981800 considered part of Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003981800 fall within Lincoln-Lemington-Belmar (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How does tract 42003981800 compare to Aspinwall overall?
Tract 42003981800 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Aspinwall at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspinwall; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q6
Was tract 42003981800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aspinwall
Top eight tracts in Aspinwall ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Elliott
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Oakland
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Bloomfield
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Marshall Shadeland
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Belmar
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Central Oakland
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Crafton Heights
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Larimer
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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