Skip to content
Neighborhood · State College, PA

Holmes-Foster Historic District Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 12,330 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 8–8

Holmes-Foster Historic District takes in 3 census tracts of State College, PA and houses 12,330 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8/10, placing it in the High tier. Severe burden reaches 47%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the State College rate of 43.2%. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 60%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Set annual rent against average household income of $31,172 and the ratio lands at 45%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. This is a renter market: 87% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 9.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,177, 8% below the State College average of $1,273. Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of State College, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Holmes-Foster Historic District vs State College How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
67.7% +57%
State College: 43.2%
Average gross rent
$1,177 -8%
State College: $1,273
Average HH income
$31,172 -34%
State College: $47,132
Poverty rate
60.0% +54%
State College: 39.1%
Renter share
87.0% +18%
State College: 73.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Holmes-Foster Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 8–8

Why Holmes-Foster Historic District scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Rent control risk
68% of income on rent · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
87% renter households · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.4–9.4 across tracts
9.4
Economic stress
60.0% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–3.7 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Holmes-Foster Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Holmes-Foster Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.0Holmes-Foster HistNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Holmes-Foster Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 8 to 8. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Holmes-Foster Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42027012400 8 5,002 66% $1,251
42027012500 8 3,865 74% $1,135
42027012600 8 3,463 63% $1,117
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 57%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 1%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 26%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 93%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Holmes-Foster Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Holmes-Foster Historic District?

Holmes-Foster Historic District scores 8/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Holmes-Foster Historic District compare to State College overall?

Holmes-Foster Historic District scores 1.4 points higher than State College overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 43% citywide. Average rent: $1,177 vs $1,273.
Q3

What is the average rent in Holmes-Foster Historic District?

Average gross rent in Holmes-Foster Historic District is $1,177/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Holmes-Foster Historic District residents are renters?

87% of Holmes-Foster Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 74% in State College). The neighborhood has 12,330 residents.
Q5

Is Holmes-Foster Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Holmes-Foster Historic District sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Holmes-Foster Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Holmes-Foster Historic District is census tract 42027012400 (score 8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8 to 8, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Holmes-Foster Historic District for landlords?

Holmes-Foster Historic District carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to State College as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Holmes-Foster Historic District?

Holmes-Foster Historic District has 11,123 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (84.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.9%), Other / Multiracial (4.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Holmes-Foster Historic District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside State College

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Holmes-Foster Historic District.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further