Neighborhood · State College, PA

Holmes-Foster Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 12,330 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.4/10 · range 7.3–7.5

Holmes-Foster Historic District is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in State College with 3 census tracts and a population of 12,330 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 7.4/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 68% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 47% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,177/month sits 8% lower than the State College citywide average ($1,273).

Risk score

7.4

Elevated

3 tracts · population-weighted

Holmes-Foster Historic District vs State College How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

67.7% +57%

State College: 43.2%

Average gross rent

$1,177 -8%

State College: $1,273

Average HH income

$31,172 -34%

State College: $47,132

Poverty rate

60.0% +54%

State College: 39.1%

Renter share

87.0% +18%

State College: 73.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Holmes-Foster Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 7.3–7.5

Why Holmes-Foster Historic District scores 7.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Rent control risk

68% of income on rent · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts

9.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts

2.9

Tenant organizing strength

87% renter households · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts

9.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 9.4–9.4 across tracts

9.4

Economic stress

60.0% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–3.7 across tracts

3.2

Risk score comparison

Holmes-Foster Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Holmes-Foster Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.2 points from 7.3 to 7.5. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

7.5 7.3 7.3

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Holmes-Foster Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
42027012500	7.5	3,865	74%	$1,135
42027012400	7.3	5,002	66%	$1,251
42027012600	7.3	3,463	63%	$1,117

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 57%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 1%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 26%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 93%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Frequently asked

About Holmes-Foster Historic District

What is the eviction-risk score for Holmes-Foster Historic District?

Holmes-Foster Historic District scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Holmes-Foster Historic District compare to State College overall?

Holmes-Foster Historic District scores 3.4 points higher than State College overall (4/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 43% citywide. Average rent: $1,177 vs $1,273.

What is the average rent in Holmes-Foster Historic District?

Average gross rent in Holmes-Foster Historic District is $1,177/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Holmes-Foster Historic District residents are renters?

87% of Holmes-Foster Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 74% in State College). The neighborhood has 12,330 residents.

Is Holmes-Foster Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Holmes-Foster Historic District sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Holmes-Foster Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Holmes-Foster Historic District is census tract 42027012500 (score 7.5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.3 to 7.5, a spread of 0.2 points.

How safe is Holmes-Foster Historic District for landlords?

Holmes-Foster Historic District carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to State College as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Holmes-Foster Historic District?

Holmes-Foster Historic District has 11,123 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (84.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.9%), Other / Multiracial (4.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Holmes-Foster Historic District

4.6 College Heights 3 tracts · pop 10,961 7.5 Highlands Historic District 2 tracts · pop 11,695 4.7 Park Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,445 5 Toftrees 3 tracts · pop 8,130

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside State College

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Holmes-Foster Historic District.

7.5 Highlands Historic District 2 tracts · pop 11,695 5.8 Orchard Park 1 tracts · pop 5,577 4.9 State College South 1 tracts · pop 3,525 4.4 College Heights 3 tracts · pop 10,961

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