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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,157 of 84,120 nationally

Holmes-Foster Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , State College

Tract 42027012500 · Centre County, PA · pop 3,865 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 42027012500 covers the Holmes-Foster Historic District area of State College, home to 3,865 residents. For landlords it grades 6.5/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than about 86% of US census tracts.

74% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 58% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,135 a month while the average household earns $14,750 a year, roughly 92% of income at the averages. Renters make up 96% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 71% Stable renters 25% Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units1,366
Renter share96.0%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate74.7%
Median income$14,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Holmes-Foster Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 9 tracts In State College
High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 41 tracts In Centre County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across State College and the region

Centroid at 40.7945, -77.8589 · click any tract to drill in

Why Holmes-Foster Historic District scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from State College
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
74.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,135 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from State College
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from State College
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from State College
9.4

How Holmes-Foster Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Holmes-Foster Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.57.5This tracttract 012500State College: 4.04.0State Collegeparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Holmes-Foster Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Holmes-Foster Historic District

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from State College eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Centre County average of 4.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42027012500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42027012500?

Census tract 42027012500 in the Holmes-Foster Historic District neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42027012500?

Median gross rent is $1,135/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42027012500?

74.7% of residents in tract 42027012500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,865.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42027012500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 1th, minority 20th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 42027012500 considered part of Holmes-Foster Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42027012500 fall within Holmes-Foster Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 42027012500 compare to State College overall?

Tract 42027012500 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of State College at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from State College eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in State College

Top eight tracts in State College ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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