Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally
Brandywine at Thornbury Eviction Risk: Lower , Cheyney University
Tract 42029302902 · Chester County, PA · pop 6,563 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Eviction risk in the Brandywine at Thornbury neighborhood of Cheyney University centers on tract 42029302902, which scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 6,563 residents. That is riskier than about 52% of US census tracts.
89% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 67% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,340 a month against an average household income of $130,694 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,316
Renter share14.6%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$130,694
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
11
th percentile
Very Low
National
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cheyney University and the region
Centroid at 39.9318, -75.5769 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brandywine at Thornbury scores 1.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cheyney University
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,340 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cheyney University
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cheyney University
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cheyney University
5.0
How Brandywine at Thornbury compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 53Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2001)
- 5Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brandywine at Thornbury. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brandywine at Thornbury
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cheyney University, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chester County average of 5.1 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 53 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.3% of renter households in 2001.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42029302902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029302902?
Census tract 42029302902 in the Brandywine at Thornbury neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42029302902?
Median gross rent is $2,340/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 89% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42029302902?
4.0% of residents in tract 42029302902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,563.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42029302902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 47th, minority 7th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 42029302902 considered part of Brandywine at Thornbury?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029302902 fall within Brandywine at Thornbury (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029302902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 53 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029302902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.31% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42029302902 compare to Cheyney University overall?
Tract 42029302902 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Cheyney University at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cheyney University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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