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Neighborhood · Cheyney University, PA

Brandywine at Thornbury Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 9,744 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.6–4.3

Brandywine at Thornbury is a 2-tract neighborhood of Cheyney University, PA, population 9,744. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.8/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The severe-burden share is 54%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Cost burden runs 71% against 20.5% citywide, putting Brandywine at Thornbury 50.8% over its own city. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.1/10.

The voucher gap is 29.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. On the high side is supply constraint at 8/10. Court records carry 113 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

Average gross rent is $2,334, 12% above the Cheyney University average of $2,075. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 7.6% of renter households.

Judgments average 1.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 19% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Its 2 tracts score within 0.7 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 3.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Brandywine at Thornbury vs Cheyney University How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
71.3% +248%
Cheyney University: 20.5%
Average gross rent
$2,334 +12%
Cheyney University: $2,075
Average HH income
$146,042 -20%
Cheyney University: $182,110
Poverty rate
4.3% +12%
Cheyney University: 3.8%
Renter share
18.6% +5%
Cheyney University: 17.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Brandywine at Thornbury and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.6–4.3

Why Brandywine at Thornbury scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.4–6.7 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
71% of income on rent · Range 2.6–3.4 across tracts
3.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–5.0 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
19% renter households · Range 2.5–4.0 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.9–5.0 across tracts
4.3
Economic stress
4.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.2 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.9–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Risk score comparison

Brandywine at Thornbury vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Brandywine at Thornbury score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.8Brandywine at ThorNeighborhood4.9Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Brandywine at Thornbury

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42029303000 4.3 3,181 35% $2,322
42029302902 3.6 6,563 89% $2,340
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 8

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 6%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 15%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 18%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Brandywine at Thornbury

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 113Total filings (sum)
  • 2.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.6%Peak year (2006)
  • 3.45%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Brandywine at Thornbury

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Brandywine at Thornbury?

Brandywine at Thornbury scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Brandywine at Thornbury compare to Cheyney University overall?

Brandywine at Thornbury scores 1.1 points lower than Cheyney University overall (4.9/10). Renters spend 71% of income on rent vs 21% citywide. Average rent: $2,334 vs $2,075.
Q3

What is the average rent in Brandywine at Thornbury?

Average gross rent in Brandywine at Thornbury is $2,334/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Brandywine at Thornbury residents are renters?

19% of Brandywine at Thornbury households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Cheyney University). The neighborhood has 9,744 residents.
Q5

Is Brandywine at Thornbury a high social-vulnerability area?

Brandywine at Thornbury sits in the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Brandywine at Thornbury have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Brandywine at Thornbury is census tract 42029303000 (score 4.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 4.3, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Brandywine at Thornbury for landlords?

Brandywine at Thornbury carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cheyney University as a whole (4.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Brandywine at Thornbury?

Brandywine at Thornbury has 9,567 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (4.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (3.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
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