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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Brandywine at Thornbury Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cheyney University

Tract 42029303000 · Chester County, PA · pop 3,181 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 42029303000 covers part of the Brandywine at Thornbury area of Cheyney University, PA, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.2/10.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 18% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,177
Renter share26.9%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$177,708

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Brandywine at Thornbury
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Cheyney University
Very High
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 124 tracts In Chester County
Elevated
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#1,638 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cheyney University and the region

Centroid at 39.9240, -75.5575 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brandywine at Thornbury scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cheyney University
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,322 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cheyney University
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cheyney University
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cheyney University
2.9

How Brandywine at Thornbury compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brandywine at Thornbury risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 3030004.9Cheyney Universityparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 60Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 3.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.6%Peak (2006)
  • 24Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42029303000
Filings climbed 700% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brandywine at Thornbury. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brandywine at Thornbury

Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The voucher gap is 28.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.9/10.

35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Chester County average of 41.5%. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 60 evictions over 6 years of observation.

Average gross rent is $2,322, 12% above the Cheyney University average. Filings peaked in 2006 at 7.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $177,708, annual rent is just 16%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42029303000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029303000?

Census tract 42029303000 in the Brandywine at Thornbury neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42029303000?

Median gross rent is $2,322/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42029303000?

4.8% of residents in tract 42029303000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,181.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42029303000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 5th, minority 32th, housing 14th.
Q5

Is tract 42029303000 considered part of Brandywine at Thornbury?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029303000 fall within Brandywine at Thornbury (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029303000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 60 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42029303000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.19% of renter households, peaking at 7.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42029303000 compare to Cheyney University overall?

Tract 42029303000 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Cheyney University at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cheyney University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cheyney University

Top eight tracts in Cheyney University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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