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Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

Brandywine at Thornbury Eviction Risk: Lower , Cheyney University

Tract 42029303000 · Chester County, PA · pop 3,181 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

The Brandywine at Thornbury neighborhood of Cheyney University is where census tract 42029303000 sits, home to 3,181 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.8/10. It lands near the 31st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,322 a month while the average household earns $177,708 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 18% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,177
Renter share26.9%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$177,708

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Brandywine at Thornbury
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Cheyney University
Very High
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 124 tracts In Chester County
Elevated
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#2,619 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cheyney University and the region

Centroid at 39.9240, -75.5575 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brandywine at Thornbury scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cheyney University
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,322 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cheyney University
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cheyney University
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cheyney University
2.9

How Brandywine at Thornbury compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brandywine at Thornbury risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.42.4This tracttract 303000Cheyney University: 3.43.4Cheyney Universityparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 60Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 3.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.6%Peak (2006)
  • 24Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420293030002000: 3 filings (0.97/100 renter HHs)2001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 5 filings (1.61/100 renter HHs)2003: 4 filings (1.29/100 renter HHs)2004: 8 filings (2.58/100 renter HHs)2005: 16 filings (5.07/100 renter HHs)2006: 24 filings (7.60/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 700% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brandywine at Thornbury. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brandywine at Thornbury

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cheyney University, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chester County average of 5.1 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 60 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 3.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.6% of renter households in 2006.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42029303000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029303000?

Census tract 42029303000 in the Brandywine at Thornbury neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42029303000?

Median gross rent is $2,322/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42029303000?

4.8% of residents in tract 42029303000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,181.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42029303000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 5th, minority 32th, housing 14th.
Q5

Is tract 42029303000 considered part of Brandywine at Thornbury?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029303000 fall within Brandywine at Thornbury (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029303000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 60 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42029303000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.19% of renter households, peaking at 7.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42029303000 compare to Cheyney University overall?

Tract 42029303000 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Cheyney University at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cheyney University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cheyney University

Top eight tracts in Cheyney University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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