Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Carlisle Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42041012100 · Cumberland County, PA · pop 2,668
Carlisle anchors census tract 42041012100, which lands at 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,118 a month against an average household income of $67,619 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,200
Renter share51.3%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate18.8%
Median income$67,619
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
National
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carlisle and the region
Centroid at 40.2031, -77.1768 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carlisle scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carlisle
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
18.8% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,118 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carlisle
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carlisle
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carlisle
7.1
How Carlisle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 23%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 57Total filings over 3 yrs
- 3.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.6%Peak (2003)
- 17Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carlisle
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carlisle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cumberland County average of 5.1 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 57 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 3.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.6% of renter households in 2003.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42041012100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42041012100?
Census tract 42041012100 in Carlisle scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42041012100?
Median gross rent is $1,118/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42041012100?
18.8% of residents in tract 42041012100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,668.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42041012100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 80th, minority 23th, housing 79th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42041012100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 57 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 42041012100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.26% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 42041012100 compare to Carlisle overall?
Tract 42041012100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Carlisle at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlisle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carlisle
Top eight tracts in Carlisle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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