Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally
Carlisle Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 42041012000 · Cumberland County, PA · pop 5,466
How risky is Carlisle for landlords? Census tract 42041012000 scores 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 84th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $927 a month against an average household income of $59,116 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,488
Renter share45.1%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate25.3%
Median income$59,116
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
National
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carlisle and the region
Centroid at 40.2118, -77.1983 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carlisle scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carlisle
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
25.3% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$927 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carlisle
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carlisle
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carlisle
7.1
How Carlisle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 54Total filings over 3 yrs
- 2.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2004)
- 26Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carlisle
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carlisle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cumberland County average of 5.1 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 54 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 2.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.2% of renter households in 2004.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42041012000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42041012000?
Census tract 42041012000 in Carlisle scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42041012000?
Median gross rent is $927/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42041012000?
25.3% of residents in tract 42041012000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,466.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42041012000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 92th, minority 41th, housing 43th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42041012000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 54 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 42041012000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.20% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 42041012000 compare to Carlisle overall?
Tract 42041012000 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Carlisle at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlisle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carlisle
Top eight tracts in Carlisle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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