New Kingstown Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 32.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10.

Cost burden runs 46% here against 35.8% across Cumberland County. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $1,816 a month, rents run 26% over what the rest of New Kingstown commands.

Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.2/10. Against the Cumberland County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.